Trade Wars – When Nash Equilibrium meets Deglobalization

Trade war – noun ­– “a situation in which countries try to damage each other’s trade, typically by the imposition of tariffs or quota restrictions.”. The US-China trade war, despite the looks of being surging now, it has already started by 2016 when Donald Trump was fighting for presidency: “Any country that devalues their currency […]

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The Future of U.S. Rate Regime: FED’ s Challenges

The Monetary Divergence The Federal Reserve, as widely expected, announced on March the 15th that it intends to raise interest rate to 0.75% to 1%, up from the 0.5% to 0.75% range set in December 2016. This is the third rate hike from the FED since the financial crisis. The Federal Open Market Committee (the FOMC, the interest rate-setting body […]

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European Reflation: All that Glitters ain’ t Gold

Annual inflation in the Eurozone has surged to its highest levels since 2013. Having already hit 1.1% in December 2017, it has now jumped to 1.8% in January 2017, according to Eurostat. Despite the consumer price growth acceleration, the European Central Bank insists that the aggressive monetary stimulus must continue. Draghi’ s attention is focused on […]

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Forecasting is possible

“Based on our regular economic and monetary analyses, we today conducted a comprehensive assessment of the economic and inflation outlook and our monetary policy stance.” (Mario Draghi) During the press conference of 8th December 2016, the President of the ECB (European Central Bank) Mario Draghi, together with the Vice-president Vítor Constâncio, presented a series of […]

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